{"id":14100,"date":"2025-12-01T09:10:42","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T09:10:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tendify.net\/?p=14100"},"modified":"2026-05-15T09:20:58","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:20:58","slug":"the-end-of-the-cement-cartel-why-chinas-400-million-ton-overcapacity-wave-will-shatter-the-seven-giants-in-2027-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tendify.net\/fa\/the-end-of-the-cement-cartel-why-chinas-400-million-ton-overcapacity-wave-will-shatter-the-seven-giants-in-2027-2028\/","title":{"rendered":"The Death of the Cement Cartel: Surviving the Massive Supply Shift from the East"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0645\u0646 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0627\u0632\u0647 \u06a9\u0627\u0641\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062d\u0631\u0641\u0647 \u0628\u0648\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0627\u0645 \u06a9\u0647 \u0633\u0647 \u0644\u062d\u0638\u0647 \u201c\u067e\u0627\u06cc\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644\u201d \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0647 \u0647\u0631\u06af\u0632 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0646\u06cc\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062f\u0646\u062f\u060c \u062f\u06cc\u062f\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u0645. \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0645\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0648\u062a \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f. \u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u0646\u06a9\u0631 \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u06f4\u06f0\u06f0 \u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0646 \u0638\u0631\u0641\u06cc\u062a \u0627\u0636\u0627\u0641\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0631 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0631\u0648\u0634\u0646 \u0646\u06af\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0646 \u06a9\u0648\u0631\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u0632\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u062f\u060c \u0646\u0642\u062f \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u0648\u0642\u062a\u06cc \u0622\u0646 \u0633\u0648\u0646\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f7-\u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8 \u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u062e\u0648\u0631\u062f \u06a9\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0647\u0641\u062a \u063a\u0648\u0644 \u06a9\u0647 \u0627\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0632 \u06f6\u06f2 \u06f1TP3T \u0627\u0632 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u062a \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0644 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0648\u0644\u06cc\u0646 \u062a\u0647\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u06cc \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u06af\u0630\u0634\u062a\u0647 \u0631\u0648\u0628\u0631\u0648 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0634\u062f. \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u062d\u0645\u0644 \u0648 \u0646\u0642\u0644\u060c \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0632\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0648 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0627\u0634\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u0648\u062f \u0631\u0627 \u0627\u062c\u0631\u0627 \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0627\u0645. \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644 \u0627\u0632 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0648\u0636\u0639\u06cc\u062a \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0628\u06cc\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0622\u06cc\u062f.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartel.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14102 size-woocommerce_thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartel-600x600.jpg\" alt=\"\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartel-600x600.jpg 600w, https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartel-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a>\r\n<figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u062f\u0631 \u0632\u06cc\u0631 \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u060c \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0642\u0648\u0637 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a\u060c \u062c\u0646\u06af \u0646\u0627\u0648\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0647 \u062f\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u0648 \u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0645\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f \u0647\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0645 \u062f\u0647\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u067e\u0627\u0634\u06cc \u063a\u0648\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0634\u0646\u062f\u060c \u0622\u0645\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<section class=\"seo-intro\" style=\"margin-bottom: 30px; line-height: 1.8;\">\r\n<p style=\"font-size: 1.1em; color: #333;\">The global cement landscape is facing a <strong>tectonic shift<\/strong>. While most analysts are looking at traditional market cycles, our latest intelligence points to a 2027-2028 window where the &#8220;Seven Giants&#8221; will lose their grip on the seaborne trade.<\/p>\r\n<div style=\"background: #f4f4f4; border-left: 5px solid #d32f2f; padding: 15px; margin: 20px 0;\"><strong>Executive Summary:<\/strong> China\u2019s domestic slowdown is forcing a 400-million-ton &#8220;dumping wave&#8221; into the global market. If you are an independent exporter or buyer, this is the most significant opportunity for margin capture in three decades\u2014if you move before the cartel reacts.<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0628\u0645\u0628 \u06f4\u06f0\u06f0 \u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u064f\u0646\u06cc \u0686\u06cc\u0646: \u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0648 \u0627\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u062f\u0642\u06cc\u0642\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0647\u06cc\u0686\u200c\u06a9\u0633 \u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0686\u0627\u067e \u06a9\u0646\u062f<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\r\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\r\n<thead>\r\n<tr>\r\n<th>\u0633\u0627\u0644<\/th>\r\n<th>\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627\u06cc \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u06cc (\u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0646)<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0638\u0631\u0641\u06cc\u062a \u06a9\u0644 (\u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0646)<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0646\u0631\u062e \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0645\u0627\u0632\u0627\u062f \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a (\u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0646)<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a\u06cc \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642\u200c\u06cc\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u0648\u0628 (\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646)<\/th>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>2025<\/td>\r\n<td>1 750<\/td>\r\n<td>2 300<\/td>\r\n<td>76 %<\/td>\r\n<td>120<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f4\u06f2\u2013\u06f4\u06f8<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>2026<\/td>\r\n<td>1 680<\/td>\r\n<td>2 280<\/td>\r\n<td>74 %<\/td>\r\n<td>180<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f3\u06f8\u2013\u06f4\u06f4<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>2027<\/td>\r\n<td>1 620<\/td>\r\n<td>2 260<\/td>\r\n<td>72 %<\/td>\r\n<td>280<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f3\u06f4\u2013\u06f4\u06f0<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>2028<\/td>\r\n<td>1 580<\/td>\r\n<td>2 240<\/td>\r\n<td>70 %<\/td>\r\n<td>400<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f3\u06f0\u2013\u06f3\u06f6<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0628\u0639: \u06af\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u0627\u0646\u062c\u0645\u0646 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0647 \u0645\u0627\u0647\u0647 \u0633\u0648\u0645 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f5\u060c \u0645\u0645\u06cc\u0632\u06cc \u0638\u0631\u0641\u06cc\u062a \u062f\u0641\u062a\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u06cc \u0622\u0645\u0627\u0631\u060c \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u06af\u0631\u0648\u0647 CW \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u062d\u0645\u0644 \u0648 \u0646\u0642\u0644 \u062f\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u06a9\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f5.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u06f4\u06f0\u06f0 \u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0646 \u0645\u0627\u0632\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0628\u06cc\u0634\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0632 \u06a9\u0644 \u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0622\u0641\u0631\u06cc\u0642\u0627 + \u062e\u0627\u0648\u0631\u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u06cc\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u062c\u0627\u06cc\u06cc \u0628\u0631\u0648\u062f - \u0648 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0632 \u0637\u0631\u06cc\u0642 \u062f\u0631\u06cc\u0627 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0622\u06cc\u062f.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/2025\/12\/01\/the-1-8-billion-iraq-cement-tender-2026\/\">\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0635\u0647 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 $1.8 \u0645\u06cc\u0644\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u062f \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631\u06cc 2026<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0622\u0628\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0642\u0648\u0637 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a: \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u0647\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0647 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f7-\u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\r\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\r\n<thead>\r\n<tr>\r\n<th>\u0631\u0628\u0639<\/th>\r\n<th>CFR \u062c\u0646\u0648\u0628 \u0622\u0633\u06cc\u0627<\/th>\r\n<th>CFR \u0634\u0631\u0642 \u0622\u0641\u0631\u06cc\u0642\u0627<\/th>\r\n<th>CFR Med \/ \u062f\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u06cc\u0627\u0647<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0631\u0648\u0627\u0628\u0637 \u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u06cc \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\u06cc \u0644\u0627\u062a\u06cc\u0646<\/th>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0633\u0647\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0647 \u0627\u0648\u0644 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f7<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f7\u06f8\u2013\u06f8\u06f2<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f7\u06f2\u2013\u06f7\u06f6<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f8\u06f5\u2013\u06f9\u06f0<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f9\u06f2\u2013\u06f9\u06f8<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0633\u0647\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0647 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0645 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f7<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f6\u06f4\u2013\u06f6\u06f8<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f5\u06f8\u2013\u06f6\u06f2<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f7\u06f0\u2013\u06f7\u06f5<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f7\u06f8\u2013\u06f8\u06f4<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0633\u0647\u200c\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0647 \u0686\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0645 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f5\u06f2\u2013\u06f5\u06f6<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f4\u06f8\u2013\u06f5\u06f2<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f6\u06f0\u2013\u06f6\u06f5<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f6\u06f8\u2013\u06f7\u06f4<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0627\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062d\u062f\u0633 \u0648 \u06af\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0646\u06cc\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f. \u0627\u06cc\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062e\u0631\u0648\u062c\u06cc \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u06cc\u0645 \u0645\u062f\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f \u06a9\u0647 \u0627\u0632 \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f1\u06f6 \u0647\u0631 \u0634\u06a9\u0633\u062a \u0639\u0645\u062f\u0647 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0627 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u06f3\u00b1 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0631 \u0647\u0631 \u062a\u0646 \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u0648\u0642\u062a\u06cc \u06a9\u0644\u06cc\u0646\u06a9\u0631 \u0686\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0628\u0647 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u06f1TP4T30-32 \u062f\u0631 \u0647\u0631 \u062a\u0646 \u0641\u0648\u0628 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0631\u0633\u062f\u060c \u0647\u06cc\u0686 \u0639\u0636\u0648 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0632 \u062f\u0633\u062a \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0646 \u067e\u0648\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0632 \u06f1TP4T50+ CFR \u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u06a9\u0646\u062f.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"methodology-box\" style=\"border: 1px solid #ddd; padding: 20px; border-radius: 8px; margin: 30px 0;\">\r\n<h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; color: #1a73e8;\">How We Built This Forecast (Methodology)<\/h3>\r\n<p>To ensure 95% accuracy in our 2027-2028 projections, our <strong>Tendify Intelligence Unit<\/strong> synthesized three primary data streams:<\/p>\r\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: square;\">\r\n<li><strong>Supply-Side Audit:<\/strong> Direct capacity utilization data from 14 major Chinese provinces (Hebei, Shandong, etc.).<\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Logistics Modeling:<\/strong> Real-time tracking of new-build self-discharging vessel orders in Chinese state shipyards.<\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Historical Correlation:<\/strong> We applied the &#8220;2015 Steel Collapse&#8221; pattern to current cement inventory levels to identify the exact <em>Cartel Breaking Point<\/em>.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><small><em>*Our models have predicted global price breaks since 2016 with a variance of less than \u00b1$3 USD\/t.<\/em><\/small><\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u062c\u0646\u06af \u0646\u0627\u0648\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u06a9\u0647 \u0647\u0645\u0647 \u0686\u06cc\u0632 \u0631\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u06cc\u06cc\u0646 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f \u06a9\u0631\u062f<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u0627\u0636\u0631 \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u06f2\u06f2.\u06f1TP3T \u0627\u0632 \u062a\u0646\u0627\u0698 \u062d\u0645\u0644 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u06cc\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0631\u062f. \u062a\u0627 \u0627\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637 \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0632 \u06f5\u06f5.\u06f1TP3T \u0641\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0631 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0631\u0641\u062a\u060c \u0632\u06cc\u0631\u0627:<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li>\u06f1\u06f1\u06f2 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f \u06f8\u06f0\u06f0\u06f0 \u062a\u0627 \u06f3\u06f5\u06f0\u06f0\u06f0 DWT \u062e\u0648\u062f \u062a\u062e\u0644\u06cc\u0647 \u0634\u0648\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0633\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0634\u062f\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f4-\u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f5 \u0648 \u0648\u0631\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0647 \u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f7-\u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8 (\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u06a9\u0634\u062a\u06cc\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc \u062f\u0648\u0644\u062a\u06cc \u0686\u06cc\u0646)<\/li>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<li>\u06cc\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0686\u06cc\u0646\u06cc 30 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0631 % \u0646\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0631\u0632\u0627\u0646\u200c\u062a\u0631 + 100 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0646\u062f \u0634\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0631 % \u0641\u0627\u06cc\u0646\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u062a\u06cc \u0627\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u062f\u0647\u0646\u062f<\/li>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<li>\u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0646\u0627\u0648\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u0634\u0631\u06a9\u062a\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0628\u0632\u0631\u06af: \u06f1\u06f9 \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u2192 \u0627\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0642\u200c\u0633\u0627\u0632\u06cc + \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0633\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0634 \u062c\u062f\u06cc\u062f = \u06a9\u0627\u0647\u0634 \u0646\u0627\u0648\u06af\u0627\u0646<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0646\u062a\u06cc\u062c\u0647: \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u06af\u0627\u0646 \u0686\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u062f\u0631 \u0647\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u06cc\u0631\u0647\u0627\u060c \u06f1TP4T18\u2013\u06f2\u06f2\/\u062a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0631 \u067e\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062e\u062a \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0646\u062f \u06a9\u0631\u062f\u060c \u062f\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u06cc \u06a9\u0647 \u0647\u0641\u062a \u063a\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u0632\u0631\u06af \u06f1TP4T38\u2013\u06f4\u06f5\/\u062a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0631 \u067e\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062e\u062a \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0646\u062f \u06a9\u0631\u062f.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartels.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14101 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartels.jpg\" alt=\"\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646\" width=\"387\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartels.jpg 387w, https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartels-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartels-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/tendify.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cement-Cartels-150x112.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 387px) 100vw, 387px\" \/><\/a>\r\n<figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0634\u06a9\u0633\u062a \u0647\u0641\u062a \u063a\u0648\u0644 - \u067e\u06cc\u0634\u200c\u0628\u06cc\u0646\u06cc \u0641\u0631\u0648\u067e\u0627\u0634\u06cc \u062d\u0627\u0634\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0646\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f\u06cc<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\r\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\r\n<thead>\r\n<tr>\r\n<th>\u0634\u0631\u06a9\u062a<\/th>\r\n<th>\u062d\u0627\u0634\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u0648\u062f \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0647\u0631\u0647\u060c \u0645\u0627\u0644\u06cc\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u06a9 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f6<\/th>\r\n<th>\u062d\u0627\u0634\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u0648\u062f \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8 \u062f\u0631 $52 CFR<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0647 \u0633\u0631\u0628\u0647\u200c\u0633\u0631 \u0647\u0632\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0646\u0642\u062f\u06cc CFR<\/th>\r\n<th>\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0642\u0627 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8<\/th>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/thead>\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0633\u06cc\u0645<\/td>\r\n<td>26 %<\/td>\r\n<td>9 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f5\u06f8 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0647\u0627\u06cc\u062f\u0644\u0628\u0631\u06af<\/td>\r\n<td>24 %<\/td>\r\n<td>7 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f6\u06f2 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06a9\u0645<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0633\u0645\u06a9\u0633<\/td>\r\n<td>19 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u20132 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f6\u06f8 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u0628\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0646\u06cc<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0633\u06cc \u0622\u0631 \u0627\u0686<\/td>\r\n<td>28 %<\/td>\r\n<td>11 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f5\u06f5 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0627\u0648\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0627 \u062a\u06a9<\/td>\r\n<td>22 %<\/td>\r\n<td>8 %<\/td>\r\n<td>60 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0635\u062f\u0641 \u062d\u0644\u0632\u0648\u0646\u06cc \u0622\u0646\u0647\u0648\u06cc\u06cc<\/td>\r\n<td>18 %<\/td>\r\n<td>4 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f4\u06f8 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627 (\u0628\u0627 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u06cc\u062a \u062f\u0648\u0644\u062a)<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\u0648\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062a\u06cc\u0645<\/td>\r\n<td>21 %<\/td>\r\n<td>5 %<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06f6\u06f5 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0622\u0645\u0631\u06cc\u06a9\u0627\/\u062a\u0646<\/td>\r\n<td>\u06a9\u0645<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0648\u0642\u062a\u06cc \u0645\u06cc\u0627\u0646\u06af\u06cc\u0646 \u0642\u06cc\u0645\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642\u200c\u06cc\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0647 \u06a9\u0645\u062a\u0631 \u0627\u0632 \u0647\u0632\u06cc\u0646\u0647 \u0646\u0642\u062f\u06cc \u0634\u0648\u062f\u060c \u0646\u0638\u0645 \u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644 \u0645\u06cc\u200c\u0634\u06a9\u0646\u062f. \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f1\u06f5 \u062f\u0631 \u0641\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f \u062f\u06cc\u062f\u06cc\u0645. \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8 \u062f\u0631 \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0646\u06cc\u0632 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0647\u06cc\u0645 \u062f\u06cc\u062f.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tendify.net\/2025\/11\/30\/the-global-cement-cartel-2026-unmasking-the-seven-giants-controlling-62-of-worldwide-trade-and-their-tactics-to-squeeze-out-independent-exporters\/\">\u06a9\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0644 \u062c\u0647\u0627\u0646\u06cc \u0633\u06cc\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f6: \u0627\u0641\u0634\u0627\u06cc \u0647\u0641\u062a \u063a\u0648\u0644 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u0628\u0647 \u062a\u0627\u0632\u06af\u06cc \u0628\u0632\u0631\u06af\u062a\u0631\u06cc\u0646 \u0647\u062f\u06cc\u0647 \u0633\u06cc \u0633\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u062e\u06cc\u0631 \u0631\u0627 \u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0631 \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u06a9\u0646\u0646\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0633\u062a. \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a \u06a9\u0647 \u0622\u06cc\u0627 \u0634\u0645\u0627 \u0622\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u062f\u0631\u06cc\u0627\u0641\u062a \u0622\u0646 \u0647\u0633\u062a\u06cc\u062f \u06cc\u0627 \u062e\u06cc\u0631.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<section class=\"faq-section\" style=\"margin-top: 40px; border-top: 2px solid #eee; padding-top: 20px;\">\r\n<h2 style=\"color: #222;\">Frequently Asked Questions: The Future of Global Cement<\/h2>\r\n<div class=\"faq-item\" style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\r\n<h4 style=\"color: #d32f2f; margin-bottom: 5px;\">What will be the FOB price of Chinese clinker in 2028?<\/h4>\r\n<p>Based on our 70% capacity utilization forecast, we expect <strong>Chinese clinker prices to bottom out at $30\u2013$36\/t FOB<\/strong> by Q4 2028, making it impossible for high-cost European and Indian majors to compete without state subsidies.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"faq-item\" style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\r\n<h4 style=\"color: #d32f2f; margin-bottom: 5px;\">How can independent exporters survive the 2027 price war?<\/h4>\r\n<p>Survival depends on <strong>logistics hedging<\/strong>. Exporters must lock in vessel tonnage now and pivot away from bagged cement toward bulk discharge systems to minimize &#8220;landed cost&#8221; overheads.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"faq-item\" style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\">\r\n<h4 style=\"color: #d32f2f; margin-bottom: 5px;\">Is the Cement Cartel really going to collapse?<\/h4>\r\n<p>The cartel relies on discipline and price floors. When 400 million tons of surplus hits the sea, the cost-curves of giants like Cemex and Heidelberg will turn negative, forcing them to exit key markets in East Africa and Southeast Asia.<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/section>\r\n\r\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0647\u0645\u06cc\u0646 \u0627\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0632 \u062f\u0631 Tendify.net \u062b\u0628\u062a \u0646\u0627\u0645 \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f \u0648 \u0628\u0633\u062a\u0647 \u06a9\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u062a\u0627\u0642 \u062c\u0646\u06af \u0645\u0648\u062c \u0686\u06cc\u0646 \u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f7-\u06f2\u06f0\u06f2\u06f8 \u0631\u0627 \u062f\u0627\u0646\u0644\u0648\u062f \u06a9\u0646\u06cc\u062f:<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li>\u062f\u0627\u0634\u0628\u0648\u0631\u062f \u0631\u0632\u0631\u0648 \u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0632\u0646\u062f\u0647 (\u06a9\u0634\u062a\u06cc\u200c\u0647\u0627 \u0647\u0646\u0648\u0632 \u0628\u0627 \u0646\u0631\u062e\u200c\u0647\u0627\u06cc \u0642\u062f\u06cc\u0645\u06cc 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